Lawrence North
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #15
Carmel Semi-State Rank #8
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 6.2%
Advance to State Finals 15.8%
Advance to Semi-State 18.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
22  Ethan Hoeft 12 15:56
120  Tim Jerger 12 16:41
157  Kyle Harris 10 16:48
210  Wyatt Spencer 12 16:56
269  Matt Hoskins 11 17:07
Paul Mueller 11 17:27
Almustapha Sylvester 12 17:42
Will Majercak 10 17:43
John Brentlinger 10 17:45
Alex Cardoso 10 17:47
James Hogston 11 17:50
Tyler Nugen 11 17:55
Will Reid 10 17:59
Jacob Rowland 9 18:30
Nick Petroy 9 18:39
DateRace Rating
09/06 Harrison Invitational 365
09/13 Ben Davis Invitational 327
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (Champ) 361
09/27 Metro Interscholastic Conference 352
10/04 Marion County Championships 320
10/07 North Central JV Invitational
10/11 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional 325
10/18 Noblesville Regional 334
10/25 Carmel Semi-State




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 15.8% 10.7 293 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 18.5% 5.3 164 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 4.8 6.9 2.4 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 6.7 160 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.4 9.7 18.5 37.0 18.3 7.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 65 2.3 26.5 50.9 20.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 97.9% 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.6 3.0 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.3 3.5 3.4 2.9 3.1 97.5% 97.9%
Tim Jerger 16.3% 78.2 0.0 0.0 0.7% 2.4%
Kyle Harris 15.8% 94.8 0.1% 0.5%
Wyatt Spencer 15.8% 112.2 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Hoskins 15.8% 134.2 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Mueller 15.8% 161.4 0.0% 0.0%
Almustapha Sylvester 15.8% 181.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 100% 6.7 0.7 10.4 12.6 11.4 9.3 8.4 7.1 6.1 5.8 4.6 4.2 3.4 3.0 2.5 1.8 2.0 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Tim Jerger 65.9% 43.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 58.2% 64.6%
Kyle Harris 41.5% 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 28.2% 36.5%
Wyatt Spencer 24.2% 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0% 13.0%
Matt Hoskins 18.8% 68.5 0.3% 1.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 100% 4.4 0.0 0.8 27.6 16.6 12.6 9.4 7.5 6.1 4.6 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tim Jerger 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.3 3.7 100.0%
Kyle Harris 100% 36.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.5 100.0%
Wyatt Spencer 100% 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Matt Hoskins 100% 50.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 2.6 0.8 36.7 22.4 15.4 10.8 6.5 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
Tim Jerger 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.8 8.5 20.8 17.7 14.4 11.7 8.6 5.3 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kyle Harris 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 7.5 12.9 13.2 13.3 13.3 10.6 8.5 6.0 4.2 2.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1
Wyatt Spencer 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.8 8.9 10.6 12.0 12.4 11.0 9.0 7.3 5.9 4.1 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.7
Matt Hoskins 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.7 4.5 6.3 8.4 9.7 10.8 10.6 10.0 8.9 7.5 6.0 4.3